Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.004157 0.004562 0.004998 0.005502 0.006070 0.006694 0.007432
2025-09-14 0.003576 0.004157 0.004828 0.005666 0.006693 0.007919 0.009512
2025-09-21 0.003126 0.003768 0.004544 0.005562 0.006879 0.008549 0.010866
2025-09-28 0.002799 0.003469 0.004309 0.005456 0.007007 0.009072 0.012100
2025-10-05 0.002581 0.003278 0.004178 0.005449 0.007238 0.009729 0.013573
2025-10-12 0.002443 0.003171 0.004139 0.005551 0.007613 0.010609 0.015470
2025-10-19 0.002270 0.003000 0.003992 0.005480 0.007723 0.011101 0.016828
2025-10-26 0.002137 0.002871 0.003892 0.005461 0.007898 0.011699 0.018425
2025-11-02 0.002002 0.002729 0.003759 0.005379 0.007961 0.012117 0.019765
2025-11-09 0.001915 0.002649 0.003709 0.005413 0.008208 0.012854 0.021767
2025-11-16 0.001815 0.002542 0.003610 0.005362 0.008304 0.013341 0.023373
2025-11-23 0.001701 0.002408 0.003462 0.005218 0.008229 0.013515 0.024394
2025-11-30 0.001624 0.002328 0.003394 0.005207 0.008394 0.014166 0.026534
2025-12-07 0.001589 0.002310 0.003424 0.005363 0.008873 0.015464 0.030294
2025-12-14 0.001503 0.002208 0.003312 0.005265 0.008878 0.015847 0.032111
2025-12-21 0.001425 0.002113 0.003204 0.005167 0.008869 0.016198 0.033920
2025-12-28 0.001370 0.002053 0.003151 0.005160 0.009035 0.016926 0.036781
2026-01-04 0.001339 0.002029 0.003155 0.005256 0.009408 0.018140 0.041133
2026-01-11 0.001281 0.001958 0.003075 0.005190 0.009449 0.018631 0.043691
2026-01-18 0.001236 0.001905 0.003023 0.005172 0.009586 0.019356 0.047063
2026-01-25 0.001184 0.001838 0.002944 0.005094 0.009590 0.019770 0.049635
2026-02-01 0.001152 0.001805 0.002922 0.005127 0.009833 0.020787 0.054288
2026-02-08 0.001111 0.001753 0.002861 0.005079 0.009892 0.021362 0.057703